Where storms may strike and what it means
CSU estimates a 32% probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the entire US coastline in 2026, compared with a historical average of 43% from 1880–2020. The probability is 15% for the US East Coast, including the Florida peninsula, versus a 21% historical average, and 20% for the Gulf Coast, compared with 27%. The Caribbean probability is placed at 35%, below the 47% historical average.
